Tuesday 14 May 2013

Market Daily - 14 May 2013


US market was slightly lower overnight despite a better than expected Retail Sales data coming out of the USA.

Bank of Israel cut its rates by 25bps to 1.5%, joining the party of central banker cutting rates.        

Nevertheless, Asia market open better this am. Today we have important data coming out of Europe and all eyes will be on it to determine the way Euro will trade. I still maintain a slightly bearish view on the Euro. However technically it seems a bit tricky.

EURO Technical Read

Using Moving Average of 50/100/200 days (see below), it seems that the Euro is trading within the range of its 100 day MVA (upper boundary) and 200 day MVA (lower boundary).

It seems to be finding a good support at the 200 day MVA as its tested and failed to successfully break it.

Today data will be important, if we get a positive data, we will see it trading up to test the 100 day MVA but if the data fail to impress we might see it testing and breaking the 200 day MVA.

From Bloomberg Terminal Screenshot

Using Fibonacci Retracement, 

From Bloomberg Terminal Screenshot


We can see that the first key resistance level is at 1.3078 while the next key support is at 1.2882.

As of now, Euro seems to be going higher and with my fundamental view of a bearish Euro, I will wait for the Euro to trend a bit higher and looks to short it.

For the faint heart, stop loss can be placed at 1.309 but I'm a bit more gungho, I will place it at 1.316.

May the odd be with you ~~


Interesting Read of the Day

This article teach you to RESPECT USD: http://www.cnbc.com/id/100733263

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