From Company's Prospectus
1. Business Description
Investment holding company focusing
on regional growth opportunities. Gallant Venture Limited (Gallant) is an investment holding
company focusing on regional growth opportunities.
Operate mainly in Batam &
Bintan. Its existing
investments are mainly in Batam and Bintan in the Riau Archipelago, Indonesia ,
under 4 major lines of business:
Utilities
Industrial
parks
Resort
Operations
Property
Development
From Company's Prospectus
Salim Group is the biggest
shareholder of the company. Key shareholders of the company include Salim Group and Sembcorp.
From Company's Presentation
2. Business Operations
Utilities
- Private
provider of utilities services to Batamindo
Industrial Park and
Bintan Industrial Estate, as well as to Bintan Resort.
- Revenue
is derived from tariffs for the supply of electricity, telecommunications, wate
and waste management services to the industrial parks and resorts
Industrial Parks
-
Ownership, management and maintenance of industrial park properties in Batam
& Bintan; activities include development of the industrial parks, sale or
lease of land in the parks and rental of ready-built factories
- Revenue
is derived from rental, service and maintenance charges
Resort Operations
- Provides
integrated support services to the 4 resorts and 7 hotel properties in Bintan
Resorts, an integrated resort development and international tourist destination
that spans over 3,000 ha of land
- Revenue
is derived from ferry operations, property rental, travel agency, service and
conservancy charges, and other support services
Property Development
- Properties
owned totalled about 18,2000 ha valued at approx S$541m
- Integrated
master planning for industrial park and resort development in Bintan Industrial
Estate and Bintan Resorts
3. Financial Highlights
(a)Book
value
Let’s look at the tangible book value per share of the company. Below is
the Balance sheet as of 1Q13.
Adjusting for the intangibles and applying a 10% margin of safety
discount to it, we can an adjusted BVPS of 46.33 cents. (BVPS 52.24 cents)
According base on the adjusted BVPS and the share price of 32.5 cent, it
is about 0.7, signalling a 30% discount value.
(b) PE perspective
In FY2012 and FY11, it achieved an EPS of 0.46 cent and 0.34 cent.
Therefore on a PE multiple perspectives, you are paying approximately 70X PE.
This kind of high PE multiplication, although expensive, is irrelevant as this
company invest in emerging market and should be seem like a more growth company.
(c) NPV concept
Using a very quick and simple NPV
calculation and following assumptions:
*Cash Flow = EBITDA = S$103m
*Cost of Capital = 10%
*Growth of next 4 year = 4%
*Terminal Growth of zero percentage at Year 4
I get a NPV figure of approximately 33.85 cents.
4. Investment Highlights
(a) Bintan and Batam Exposure
Well, Gallant is one of the Land king in Bintan and holds land in Batam
as well. Thus if investor are bullish on the property and tourism for this 2
areas, you should like Gallant as it has the potential to become the next
Iskandar!!
(a) Stable Business from its utilities and Industrial parks business
amid slow down
Gallant owns a portfolio of stable utilities and industrial parks.
According to the Company 2013 presentation, the management guided a recurrent
EBITDA of S$60-100million per annum for its utilities and industrial park
businesses.
(c) Acquisition of automotive retailer, PT Indomobil Sukses
Internasional (IMAS)
In December 2012, Gallant enters into acquisition of IMAS for $809.3m
valuing the auto retailer at $1.55billion. Personally, I like this acquisition as
I think the domestic economy of Indonesia is doing quite okay and this
acquisition provides Gallant an exposure into the mid & high luxury market
of the Indonesia consumer market.
5. Investment Weakness
(a) Property and resort business fails to deliver
Despite a lot of excitement generated on Bintan as the next tourism
spot, it has largely failed to deliver. If anyone of you that have gone to
Bintan before, you should know that the planning are rather haphazard and the
only thing you can do there is really relax!!
Despite a lot of effort to remake it as a spa and golfing place, it has
since failed to deliver.
This is very much the same for its property business. However, the same
weakness might be the exact investment strength for some other investor. (please
see above)
(b) Inherent cyclical risk
6. Conclusion
Stock
market has been quite merciless to the investors in recent week. However, I have been re-reading my holy investment bible aka The Intelligent Investor, and Master Benjamin Graham did say that a falling market makes it a safer place to invest in. (as
price is getting cheaper)
Looking
at Gallant, I do think that the company seems to be undervalued and the recent
spike (which I still haven't figured out why) might be due to people buying it
on the cheap.
Base on
my various arguments, i think that you can buy on "hope" and
there is definitely a lot of unlocked potential within the business.
However,
its tough to value them although on various account, it looks cheap. Thus I
will start accumulating this counter if the share price falls below S$0.30. If
not, there is still a lot of decent company that you can invest in.
But this
is definitely one of the names on my watchlist.
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