Tuesday 12 November 2013

Pacific Radiance Ltd - Balloting Results

Balloting for Pacific Radiance has been announced. The shares were 2.2 times subscribed. According to its press release, the IPO was largely subscribed by institutional investors in the placement tranche of the offer.

Over at the public tranche, the shares were 44.8 times subscribed!!! Below is the release of the public tranche allocation: 

Source: SGX Website

The link to the balloting result is found at this web-link:


Hopefully this will be a flyer performance tomorrow. May the odds be with you~~

Sunday 10 November 2013

New IPO Coverage - Pacific Radiance Ltd

From Company's Prospectus

1. Business Description

Singapore-based offshore support services providers. Pacific Radiance is a fast expanding owner and operator of a young and diverse fleet of offshore vessels with a significant presence in Asia. It operates in 3 key segments:

(i) Offshore Support Services
(ii) Subsea Business
(iii) Complementary Business - Marine Equipment Business/Project Logistics Business

From Company's Prospectus

Diverse and modern fleet with decent utilization rates. Pacific Radiance currently wholly own and operate a total of 62 offshore vessels which are chartered out to various IOCs (International Oil Company) and NOCs (National Oil Company), international oil and gas contractors and international seismic companies. In addition, they have another fleet of 71 offshore vessels via its JV and Associated Companies.

The fleet of OSVs (exclude the 71 vessels owned through JV and Associated Companies) has an average age of approximately 3 years. Utilization rate has also improved steadily since FY2010.  

From Company's Prospectus
  
Full-value chain services within the E&P cycle.  Pacific Radiance caters to the different phases of oil and gas field project life cycle as detailed by the diagram below:

From Company's Prospectus

Exposure to cabotage-protect markets. The company's strategic partnerships with its foreign partners have allowed them to penetrate into key markets with high barriers to entry in the form of cabotage laws, such as Indonesia, Malaysia and South America.

Cabotage rules provide that vessels that flagged the respective country's flag are given priority ahead of vessels flagged elsewhere.

Diagram below detailed the historical milestones of the company:

From Company's Prospectus

2. Use of Proceeds

From Company's Prospectus

3. Financial Highlights

Offshore support services contributes the most revenue; with growing importance from subsea. Offshore support services contributes most of the revenue (FY10 - 95%, FY11 - 83%, FY12 - 84%, 1H13 - 67%). Subsea is starting to grow in importance as the company seeks to grow this segment. 

From Company's Prospectus

Asia represents a core market for Pacific Radiance. The company has successfully diversified its revenue on a geographical level since FY2010, however Asia continues to be a core market for Pacific Radiance accounting for 58% of the revenue in 1H13.

From Company's Prospectus

Decent growth achieved throughout the year. Pacific Radiance has achieved decent top line and bottom line growth throughout the years. (see diagram below) EPS has also been achieving steadily.

From Company's Prospectus

From Company's Prospectus

P/B  looks slightly expensive compared to peers but fair on forward P/E perspective. On a P/B basis, Pacific Radiance looks expensive compared to the other SGX-listed peers (with the exception of Ezion). Nevertheless, on a forward P/E terms it looks fair if they are able to continue to deliver its growth. 


4. Investment Highlights

Attractive industry. The era of "easy oil" is over and Southeast Asia' deepwater market will grow in importance going forward, OSV players that are equipped to handle harsher drilling condition will be in demand. In addition, oil prices is expected to stay at a healthy level and this will be positive for the oil sector as a whole.

Diverse and modern fleet. I like the fact that the average age of its fleet is approx 3 years, which is younger than the industry average. E&P players typically are willing to pay a premium for a younger fleet given that they are better equipped with the latest technology.

Access to cabotage protected markets. As mentioned, access to cabotage markets help boost the utilization and charter rates of locally flagged vessels and its associated companies, particularly in Indonesia.

Listing of associate company, PT Logindo. Once listed, the PT Logindo might provide a positive re-rating on the valuation of Pacific Radiance.

5. Investment weakness

Crude oil price. As usual, oil industry is cyclical and the volatility of oil price might impact the company.

Competitive market. The OSV market is competitive in nature, with bigger players having a stronger balance sheet posing a threat for the company.

Regulatory Risk. Cabotage ruling might change and it might impact the protected market for Pacific Radiance.
  
6. Technical Analysis

Out of the 171.8 million of shares placed, only 5 million of share is by way of public offer making the free float to retail investors like us very little, the remaining are placed out as placement tranche.

I have a feeling that the technical demand for this issue might be strong.

7. Conclusion

I like the sector and I like the story of the company.

Valuation wise it is fair to me and given my favourable outlook for the sector, I will give it a BUY call for the IPO. (especially given the decent performance of Rex and KrisEnergy)

8. Timetable


From Company's Prospectus

Tuesday 5 November 2013

Viva Industrial Trust (VIT)

From Company's Prospectus

1. Business Description

Stapled group comprising of VI-REIT and VI-BT. VIT is a stapled group comprising VI-Reit and VI-BT.

VI-Reit : Singapore based REIT established with the principal investment strategy of investing in portfolio of income producing real estate which is used predominantly for business park and other industrial purposes in Singapore and elsewhere in the APAC region.

VI-BT : At the listing date, VI-BT, a Singapore based business trust, will be dormant. It will, however, become active on some triggering events.

From Company's Prospectus

HLG & KSH are Sponsors of VIT. Ho Lee Group Pte Ltd (HLG) and Kim Seng Holdings Pte Limited (KSH) are the Sponsors of VIT.


UE BizHub East

Brand new property comprising of Business Park component & Hotel component. Located in the Changi Business Park, UE BizHub East is a brand new integrated mixed-use business park development comprising:

Business Park Component – 2 business park buildings with retail space
Hotel Component – A business hotel managed by Park Avenue Hotels & Suites under the “Park Avenue” brand, which features a gym, swimming pool and convention centre with a theatre seating for up to 600 guests.

Rental agreement for UE Bizhub East. UE Bizhub East is under a rental agreement whereby:
Business Park component - VIT will receive S$23.35m per annum at Listing Date, with a step-up by 5% in each of the 3rd and 5th year of the term. (30Apr13 – 64.2% occupancy)
Hotel component (retail) - VIT will receive S$0.65m per annum at Listing Date, with a step-up by 5% in each of the 3rd and 5th year of the term. (30Apr13 – 100% occupancy)
Hotel component (exclude retail) – Leased to UED for a fixed rental income of S$8.55m per annum renewable at S$9.66m from the 6th to 10th of the Hotel Lease.

Mauser Singapore

Ramp-up logistics facility. Located near Tuas Checkpoint and Jurong Port, Mauser Singapore is a ramp-up logistics facility that provides operational and cost advantages in attracting tenants compared to conventional “cargo-lift” logistics facilities.

Mauser Singapore is under the Master Lease at S$1.8m per annum with a 5% rental escalation in the 3rd and 5th year built into its lease term.

Technopark@Chai Chee

Business Park located in a mature housing estate. Technopark@Chai Chee is well-maintained and offers attractive building specifications such as large floor plates which offers flexible layout and allows optimal spatial planning and easy configuration of workflow operations by tenants. The property also offers F&B establishments and other lifestyle amenities such as tennis courts and a gymnasium and is well served by amenities located in the mature housing estates in the vicinity.

Rental support agreement for Technopark@Chai Chee. The rental support agreement (RSA) states that if the gross rental income of the property is less than the target rental income of S$2.15m per month, VIT may within the period of 2 years claim the difference in each month. The aggregate liability/claim shall not exceed S$2.3m. The rental for July 13 was S$2.0m and actual occupancy rent is 60.7%. With the RSA, the calculated occupancy is at an average of 87.5%. (Suntec – 85%, JLL – 90%)


Visible acquisition pipeline through Right of First Refusal (ROFR) Properties. VIT has a visible acquisition pipeline through the listed ROFR Properties (see table beside).

From Company's Prospectus

2. Financial Highlights

Pro Forma Balance Sheet


Projected Income Statement


Projected Yield


Peer Comparison


3. Investment Highlights

Strategically located in business parks and established industrial clusters in Singapore with close proximity to MRT stations & major transportation networks. VIT’s properties are strategically located in key business parks and industrial clusters in Singapore with easy access to expressways and MRT stations. The properties are therefore supported by excellent infrastructure and transportation networks that enhance their attractiveness to existing and potential tenants.

From Company's Prospectus

Long weighted average underlying land lease and relatively new properties. The weighted unexpired lease term for underlying land for the portfolio is approximately 45 years. Both Mauser Singapore and UE BizHub East are new properties, TOP in year 2012. As such, this will result in minimum maintenance capex for these 2 properties.

Potential upside given its low tenancy rate at Technopark@Chai Chee. The current tenancy rate at Technopark@Chai Chee stands at a low 60.7%, thus there is a upside potential for them to manage up the tenancy rate.

4. Investment Risk

TOO MUCH FINANCIAL ENGINEERING! Too much financial engineering is involved and the yield is optically higher due to the rental support mechanism.

5. Conclusion

To be honest, I really don't like VIT at its IPO price of S$0.78 as I think that (1) its valuation is fair to expensive & (2) suspected asset quality given low tenancy rate, artificially supported by rental support mechanism.