1.
Business Description
Container
port business trust backed by HK Superman, Li Ka-Shing. Listed on the SGX,
HPHT is sponsored by Hutchison Port Holdings (HPH), the global leader in
container port industry by throughput and a subsidiary of Hutchison Whampoa
Limited, who is ultimately owned by Li Ka-Shing.
Portfolio
consists of controlling interests in world class deep-water container port
assets in HK and Shenzhen. HPHT’s portfolio consists of controlling interests in
world class deep-water container port assets, namely Hongkong International
Terminals (HIT) and COSCO-HIT Terminals (COSCO-HIT) in Kwai Tsing Port, Hong
Kong; and Yantian International Container Terminals Limited (YICT) in Shenzhen
Port, PRC. The assets also comprise of certain port ancillary services and
river ports complementary to the deep-water containers ports operated by HPH
Trust.
From Company's Prospectus
2. Business Operations
Strategically local
key assets. HPHT
owns strategic located deep-water container ports located in Kwai Tsing, HK and
Shenzhen in the PRC. Collectively, these terminals have a combined through put
of 21.9m twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU) in 2011, which compared favorably
with PSA Corp, the world busiest port, which handled 29.4m TEUs in the same
period.
·
HPHT’s business model is based on rendering
port-related services (container handling & storage) for:
a.
Origin
& Destination – Import/export from the local market
b.
Transshipment –
Containers are offloaded from a vessel with the intention of loading up another
connecting vessel without leaving the port premises
3. Financial Highlights
1Q13 Summary
1Q13 revenue was up 1.1% yoy at HK$2,867m
(1Q12: HK$2,836m). This came on the back of its flatish throughput volume
growth which showcases its resilience
1Q13
net profit declined by 6.5% largely due to the additional expenses incurred in
relation to its recent acquisition of ACT.
Adjusting
for this one time acquisition, HPHT’s overall net profit would have increased
1.6% yoy.
Operating
margins continued to remained strong at 31.2%
From Company's 1Q13 financial statements
Trading at a discount with NAV of
HK$7.48 (S$1.23) as of 1Q13. At
current valuation of approximately S$0.745, HPHT is trading at a deep discount
of approximately 39.5%!! This looks cheap on a pure valuation basis.
From Company's 1Q13 financial statements
4. Investment
Highlights
Cheap
Valuation. As
mentioned above, HPHT is trading at a deep discount to its NAV. However,
adjusting for the Goodwill out of its Financial statement, it will be
approximately HK$2.6 (S$0.428). Nevertheless, this is less of a worry here
(although it’s still something to take note) because what you are paying is for
a true world class asset.
World-class facilities strong competitive advantages. HPHT’s ports are strategically situated in harbors with
natural and direct deep-water channel approaches. Its port also owns free port status at the central of major
trade routes and long contiguous berths, making them the preferred transhipment
hub in the region.
In addition, Yantian is benefits from the region’s manufactured export
flows and increasing import cargoes, given its proximity to the major
industrial and population centres in the Pearl River Delta.
HPHT also possesses
world class facilities, delivering consistent superior productivity throughput.
Decent assets, with
strong backing. Obviously,
the location is superior and it gives you exposure into the economic growth of
China and its region. In addition, it is back by Hutchison Whampoa, so there is
definitely no monkey business behind it given such a good and strong backing
from the superman himself.
5. Investment
Weakness
Carry
trade is over. With the Fed announcing its tapering
measures, the carry trade is definitely over! Now dividend stock is out of
favour. Look at what happening to the REITs, thus HPHT will suffer on a
technical aspect.
Inherent
cyclical industry. The port business is a highly cyclical
business which is dependend on global trading volumes and regional & global
economic condition.
Potential
FX risk? Here’s the problem. HPHT majority revenue is in HKD and
USD while they pay CNY as their expenses. FX mis-match? Maybe.
6.
Conclusion
HPHT
and a lot of other REITs has been selling down. At current share price of
S$0.745, and a past annual dividend payout of S$0.084 cents, it translates
to above 10%.
However,
do note that HPHT has deferred capex investment for last year to achieve
its stated dividend payout. So assuming stable operating performance, below
provide you a sensitivity scenario on how different capex amount will affect
the yield:
Thus invest base on your
appetite, personally I will be greedier and will wait for it to go lower before
I grab it. But you can't catch the bottom; at this level I think it’s already
pretty attractive.
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