From Company's Website
1. Business
Description
Market leader in the Philippines . Del Monte Pacific Limited (DMPL)
Group owns the Del Monte brand in
Philippines for processed products and owns a leading market shares for canned
pineapple juice and juice drinks, canned pineapple and tropical mixed fruits,
tomato sauce, spaghetti sauce and tomato ketchup.
Owns S&W which distribute
in Asia, Europe and Middle East . DMPL also owns another highly
recognized premium brand, S&W, globally except in Americas , Australia
and New Zealand .
Exposures in Indian subcontinent
and Myanmar
as well. DPML owns
approximate 92% of a holding company that in turn owns 50% of FieldFresh Foods
Pte Ltd in India .
FieldFresh markets Del Monte-branded processed products in the domestic market
and Fieldfresh-branded fresh produce. Del Monte Pacific's partner in Fieldfresh
Foods is the Bharti Enterprises, a conglomerates in India .
Del Monte Pacific also holds the exclusive rights to
produce and distribute processed food and beverage products under the Del Monte
brand in the Indian subcontinent and Myanmar .
Below provides a overview of its global distribution:
From Company's Website
2. Business
Operations
One of the world's
largest integrated pineapple operations. DMPL operates one of the world's largest integrated
pineapple operations with a 23,000 hectare pineapple plantation in Philippines ,
700,000 ton processing capacity and a port beside the Cannery.
From Company's Website
Philippine is DMPL's main market. Domestic Philippine market
generated 70% of sales and 89% of operating profit and continues act as a core
market for DMPL.
From Company's Website
Below provides a finer breakdown of DMPL’s geographical markets, products and customers:
From Company's Website
3. Valuation
a. PE Perspective
Base on PE, DMPL looks expensive compared to the
other Philippine’s players. (see table below)
Source: Bloomberg Terminal
Some
analysts argued that the high valuation is justifiable given that DMPL has the
ability to generate superior growth rate and higher margin is the next few years.
Well,
I do agree that this is a valid pointer although I personally don’t like to buy
a high valuation company.
b.
Book Value
Based
on its 1Q13 reported NAV, it is trading at US$0.2235 cent and with its share
price of S$0.84, 2.95X of its book value.
This
is another hint of how bullish market thinks that the business will grow.
c.
Analysts call
Since
the analyst research papers are easily available from its IR site (see below), I
should not try to dispute their work and will just present the various call by the
analysts below.
One thing to note is that given the current momentum, it seems that the analysts are
very bullish on DMPL and that to a certain extent will provide some trading
momentum for it.
Source: Bloomberg Terminal
4. Investment
Highlights
Below
is a detailed presentation by the IR team on what they think are the key
highlights for investing in DMPL:
From Company's Website
5. Investment Risk
Valuation looks
stretched. To
me, I think the valuation for DMPL looks obviously stretched. This is a barrier
of entry for me although I do like the business and its management.
Concentration risk. Note that DMPL
obviously has a very concentrated revenue base in Philippines and their
reliance on pineapple. Their competitors for pineapple are the guys around the
region, eg. Thailand, and an oversupply can lead to poor pineapple prices.
Loss in non-core segment.
As
rightfully pointed out by the analysts, its non-core segment like the Indian JV
have been losing money amid at a slowing down pace.
6. Conclusion
This
is somewhat tricky.
Obviously
I like the business on a long term perspective given the whole bullishness
around Philippines but obviously the valuation today looks stretched.
Thus
I will, at a lower valuation, look to add it into my Long Term investment
portfolio as I’m willing to hold it for a long time as I like the business and
I think the Campos family has done a decent job since taking over the company in 2006.
However,
I will wait for a better entry price.
Nevertheless, I might choose to trade the company. I think the company is
just starting to get more attention by the market and at around the S$0.80
level (if it fail to breach through it), one can initiate a buy on it.
Look to take profit when it approaches its recent
high of around S$0.945 level.
Thus best way to play for myself might be buying at
S$0.80, TP at S$0.90 with a S$0.10 profit.
Source: Yahoo Finance, Singapore
Other Useful Link
Frankly,
I’m very impressed by the company IR and web design.
They
are very transparent about the company and provide a lot of useful links for
investor to understand DMPL.
You
can log on to the IR page here:
There
is a very useful section call “Downloadables” whereby you can download and understand the company better.
For
a quicker assesses to the analyst coverage & reports, you can refer to the
link below:
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